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Most of these games have not been adapted for casino play. So instead of winning A sum of greater than 21 is called a bust. Pair Play is a simple side bet by Pala Interactive that pays 11 to 1 if the player's first two cards form a pair. Fireball Action is an action numbers game with 6 pattern styles.

## Three zebras meet their first horse (or a trio of mythemat- icians discuss a new winning strategy?)

If any of the hands have a total of 8 or a 9, they must say so. When they do, the hands will be revealed and a comparison will take place. The hand that has the highest total will win. On the other hand, if none of the hands are equal to 8 or 9, the player will decide if he wants a third card. If he accepts the third card, it will be dealt facing up for everyone to see.

Of course, mathematically, players are advised to ask for 1 more card if they have a hand total between zero and four. They should not ask for another card if the hand total is equal to six or seven.

After the player makes his choice regarding the 3rd card, the banker will have his turn to make the same decision. After both the player and the banker make up their minds, all of the cards will be turned face up and the hand that has the highest total will be declared the winning hand. If the banker wins, he or she will continue being the banker and players will lose all of their bets and another round will begin.

This means that players will only make one move for each hand, unlike other card games such a Blackjack where players will keep making decisions during gameplay.

In Baccarat, players will simply choose one of the 3 available bets and will bet on the banker, the player or a tie; the cards will then be dealt according to a set of rules. Although the 3 different versions of the game have slightly different rules, they all have the same basic guidelines and rules that we are going to discuss in this section. Nine is the maximum hand total because whenever a hand total reaches 10, it will equal zero, making 9 the highest hand.

Whenever a hand total goes over 9, it will restart back to zero. Here is an example of how to calculate the hand total:. If the 2 cards forming the hand are 7 and 2, the total is nine; if the 2 cards are a 7 and a 3, then the total is zero; and if 2 cards are 7 and 4, then the total is 1.

When the two hands are dealt, the comparison will take place — the gaming procedure depends on the hand total of the two hands. If any of the two hands has a hand total of 8 or a 9, the round ends and the winning hand will be paid off. In that case, the hand that has the hand total of a 9 will beat the other hand that has any other total. If none of the hands has a natural hand hand total of 8 or 9 , then more cards will be dealt.

These cards are dealt according to the rules and not the decision of each player. If the hand total is equal 0, 1, 2, 3, 5 or 5, another card will be dealt. On the other hand, if the hand total is equal 6 or 7, the hand will stand.

Baccarat is a casino card game that offers its players relatively good odds because the game is quite simple and fair as players will only have three wagering options and each hand is played depending on a fixed set of rules.

The rules of Baccarat were carefully constructed in order to create a small but a measurable advantage for the house for the two bets, the player, and the banker while creating a huge advantage for the house in the tie bet. According to complex studies and calculations, it is estimated the banker hand will win approximately For example, players who place credits worth of wagers on the player hand will expect to lose The exact difference between the two is equal to 1.

The betting odds for the banker bets can be calculated like this: If baccarat players wager credits, taking into consideration the five percent commission, players are going to win 0. If they are expected to win Players are still expected to lose A tie will occur almost 9. So instead of winning If we divide the difference, 1. Although a lot of players might be tempted by the eight to one payout that the tie bet offers, it is unfavorable if it is compared to the player and the banker bets. After all is said and done, it is obvious the best logical bet according to the given odds is the banker bet.

Even after deducting the five percent commission, the banker bet still has the most favorable odds that a game of baccarat can offer. Baccarat is, after all, a card game, so luck has a lot to do with the outcome of the game. There are strategies, tips, and advice but none of them will guarantee players that they will win.

One of the simplest tips is always to put your money on the banker. This is because the house advantage on the banker bet is lower than the other two available bets. I have never denied that Mr. You have to set your bet values randomly, without any reference to how much you're in the hole or what it takes to get back in the black. And if that doesn't finish you off, be sure to get scared before you can get even, taking a big hit and hoping you can start over and recover your losses another day.

Posted by Seth Theobeau at 8: Tuesday, April 26, Bottom line: If you bet randomly, you will probably lose; If you bet progressively, using a consistent strategy that includes rational self defense, you probably won't.

The casinos know this, and you should too. The bad news, of course, is that if you take on any house game with inadequate funds, the best strategy in the world won't save your bankroll. I don't spend as much time as I used to bouncing around the web looking for useful insights into gambling because I know that most of the information out there is dis information. The first holds that anyone promoting any form of betting strategy is foolishly challenging the great wisdom of a long line of mathematical geniuses who, for centuries, have demonstrated that if you lose more often than you win then in the long run you must also lose more money than you win.

The other is a more modern interpretation of the conventional wisdom which says that since every bet in a game of negative expectation is subject to the same negative probability It all sounds so sensible and logical. And if you bet randomly, it's also TRUE. Progressive betting throws a spanner in the works, as they say in England, because it's not random. Expectation meaning the probable outcome for the sequence was What happens with progressive betting and I don't recommend a simple double-up or Martingale like the one above is that the next bet value is adjusted after each successive loss in the demonstrably reasonable belief that a run in the house's favour cannot last forever.

Simply put, the objective is to recover prior losses in fewer bets than it took to fall into a deep red hole. In the simplistic example above, we lost four bets and won just one, but the win recovered the losses from the four wrong bets that preceded it.

This is all old territory for regular readers of this blog, so I'm simply going to put up some screen shots that demonstrate that the conventional wisdom and the wisdom of the ages is right on the money if bet values are random In the model that supplied the snaps below, Target 3-Play was deployed against 10, random outcomes from a RNG set at The fact is that casino games of chance are designed so that extended swings in the house's favour will be relatively rare, but in the long run, the house will win more bets than the player.

There's nothing altruistic or generous about this design. It simply responds to the plain truth that if casino games were impossible to beat, no one would play them.

And obviously, no punters means no profits. The house percentage is almost always boosted by such factors as player greed, stupidity, insobriety hence those "free" cocktails and inadequate funding. Posted by Seth Theobeau at 4: Monday, March 14, It's an international obsession, so let's get this straight: Oscar's Grind can help you beat negative expectation, but Target 3-Play can make you richer faster, with less risk.

Just forget about betting strategies that are not progressive! Now I've restated that important truth about gambling, I'd like to put on record that I am happy to see daily blog traffic hitting about 3x the numbers from this time last year, but I am still surprised that first-time visitors don't search for the latest post, then work back in time!

I don't pay as much attention to this blog as I used to, but this week, I took my own little journey back in time and was reminded that my post about Oscar's Grind long, long ago remains the most read of all the plus articles I have published here. I learned about OG from a book by Tom Ainslie, and for a while accepted his claim that he had used the strategy many times himself and had won enough to pay for several gambling trips to exotic casinos in the Caribbean.

I even gave the Grind a go myself, doing well enough over several sessions for one sarcastic pit boss to offer to send me a weekly cheque for an agreed amount to save me the bother of visiting his casino day after day. Even then, I was convinced that only progressive betting could beat the odds in the long term, and Oscar's Grind is basically a restrained, almost constipated, version of a simple double-up or Martingale. It can do pretty well for quite a while, and is demonstrably a better way to go than setting bet values randomly, the way out of every thousand gamblers tend to do.

After a while, winning is not enough. There has to be at least a little excitement, which translates as jeopardy, however brief. To put this in perspective, let's first clarify the conventional wisdom about casino games of chance. The CW says that since even the smartest player is sure to lose more bets than he wins in the long run, it is a mathematical certainty that ergo, he must in time lose more money than he wins. This is a line that is relentlessly promoted by casinos, their employees and their online shills, and it is simply not true.

You will have heard, no doubt, that it is possible to fiddle and fart around and fudge the facts for a while to come up with a betting strategy that wins against a relatively small sample of recorded outcomes say 5, but the same strategy will crash and burn against the next data set of similar size. That's a flat-out fib, folks, but we can all see that it is in the interests of the gambling industry to have us believe it.

For example, if we take 50,plus outcomes painstakingly logged from real-time casino games and simulations, even Oscar's Grind in its original version can show a modest profit: Posted by Seth Theobeau at 7: Tuesday, January 5, As this blog approaches its 7th birthday, let's go back to the very beginning and make one thing abundantly clear: Progressive betting is the only way to beat casino games of chance, and anyone who says otherwise is probably working for the house!

Since I started this in March of , I have taken a fair amount of flak for relying on spreadsheets to demonstrate that the conventional wisdom about table games is bollocks, and that disciplined progressive betting with realistic filters applied can consistently win in a casino.

The spreadsheet platform is ideal for this job because it allows me to generate thousands of random outcomes in an instant, and then test my winning algorithm against them one by one without anyone being able to claim that I somehow "cooked" the positive result achieved against a negative data set.

Defenders of the CW may not all be house shills, but many of them become so shrill and shrewish when challenged that I'm reminded of Shakespeare's line, "Methinks the lady doth protest too much.

But the moment rational, restrained progressive betting is applied with confidence and consistency, the house edge becomes irrelevant and fewer wins than losses will deliver a profit instead of the predicted loss over and over again. The patterns that matter the most apply to the predictable frequency of paired wins and "three-peat" losses, which comply with the law of large numbers and don't differ much from one representative random data set to the next.

I'm banging the same old drum again because I can't shake the memory of a sceptic who set out to debunk my algorithm, and when he failed to do so against multiple sets of verifiable outcomes, he dispensed with integrity, dignity and honesty and tossed out my rules one by one until he got the negative result he wanted. The same weasel came up with the half-baked axiom that all bets of the same value are subject to the negative expectation that applies to the sample as a whole, and it's that bit of nonsense that I am keen to address here, along with some other deliberate disinformation promoted by casinos.

First, some pertinent outtakes from a spreadsheet that in some ways supersedes all the thousands of models that preceded it: Wednesday, May 6, Stop me if you've heard this before: If you can't afford to win, you shouldn't play probably the best gambling advice you'll ever get! I'm not posting here very often these days, simply because I have said all I have to say about progressive betting over and over again, and even someone afflicted with acute blogghorhea has to get tired eventually!

Still and all, just lately I have had several e-mails from readers initially praising Target betting principles to the skies, then suddenly going quiet. I can't help but assume that in spite of my repeated warnings that winning consistently takes a great deal of money on top of discipline, confidence and courage, they tried to beat the house with an inadequate bankroll.

The truth is that sometimes, with a positive expectation ranging from less than 1. Yes, it's a lot of money, and quite possibly people with that much in their pockets are too smart to risk losing it. But there is not a business proposition anywhere, opening a casino included, that does not require an initial investment far greater than the anticipated return. In time, a wise investment will pay back the initial outlay and the gravy train will keep chugging down the tracks.

But time and money are two essential ingredients that most gamblers either can't or won't stir into the mix. It took maybe half a minute to run through it again: After an opening loss in a new series, bet at least 3x your first bet, then double it if there's a second loss; after three losses, drop back to your minimum, and stay there until there's a win; after the win, bet your loss to date plus one unit per round, and be prepared to double the bet just twice before retreating to the minimum.

So, three losses, drop back I'm blogging again today because I suspect a lot of people are just like my friend in Las Vegas, and suffer a sudden brain seizure the moment the going gets tough. And that, of course, is exactly when discipline and confidence and sometimes lots of CASH are most important. What progressive betting is all about is managing our money so that over time, we consistently win more when we win than we lose when we lose.

That's essential, because we can be certain that in the long run, we will lose more bets than we win. The house advantage will see to that. I think we can all agree that breaking even is not a long-term winning strategy.

Target needs two consecutive wins to recover prior losses in a downturn Sure, 4 to 1 is a long shot. But because we apply damage control in response to a negative trend, we're able to keep our losses under control until the next turnaround opportunity presents itself.

Each time we fail, bets are recalibrated to ensure that next time we are given a chance of recovery, we will have exactly the right amount of money on the table. Timing is everything in gambling, as it is in life, and if all we ever do is recover in two bets what it took us three bets to lose, we won't be "making a contribution" to the house's groaning coffers. Most gamblers are random bettors, so they have little hope of a quick recovery once bad timing has dumped them into a deep hole, and the harder they struggle, the deeper they sink.

That is a safe play. Of course, aggressive players may take the chance if they are just at Again, that depends greatly on how aggressive you are in your blackjack strategy.

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